September Pending Home Sales Index
LOS ANGELES, CA – October 25, 2011 – (RealEstateRama) — Pending home sales in California fell in September, as is typical for this time of year, but were up from the previous year for the fifth consecutive month. Additionally, distressed home sales increased slightly in September from both the previous month and year, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported today.
Pending home sales:
California pending home sales fell 5.2 percent in September, but were up from a year ago, according to C.A.R.’s Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI)*. The index was 118.5 in September, based on contracts signed in that month, down from August’s index of 125.0. The index was up 8.4 percent from September 2010. September marked the fifth consecutive month that pending sales rose from the previous year. Pending home sales are forward-looking indicators of future home sales activity, providing information on the future direction of the market.
“While recent pending home sales have increased from last year’s levels, housing inventory remains lean across all property types, particularly REOs (real estate-owned), which currently is at a 2.6-month supply,” said C.A.R. President Beth L. Peerce. “However, some major lenders recently announced they would accelerate the release of REOs onto the market, which should help alleviate the current shortage of housing inventory.”
Distressed housing market data:
- The total share of all distressed property types sold statewide rose to 44.4 percent in September, up from August’s 43.7 percent and 43.6 percent in September 2010.
- Of the distressed properties sold statewide in September, 20.2 percent were short sales, up from the previous month’s share of 18.9 percent and last September’s share of 19.5 percent.
- At 24 percent, the share of REO sales was down slightly from August’s 24.4 percent, but up from the 23.8 percent reported in September 2010.
- Equity sales made up the remaining share of home sales in September at 55.6 percent, down from 56.3 percent in August and 56.4 percent in September 2010.
Multimedia:
- View a video of C.A.R. Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young discussing highlights of the September existing home sales and price report, which was released Oct. 14.
- View a chart of pending sales compared with closed sales.
Share of Distressed Sales to Total Sales
(Single-family)
| Type of Sale | Sept. 2010 | Aug. 2011 | Sept. 2011 |
| REOs | 23.80% | 24.40% | 24.00% |
| Short Sales | 19.50% | 18.90% | 20.20% |
| Other Distressed Sales (Not Specified) |
0.30% | 0.40% | 0.30% |
| Total Distressed Sales | 43.60% | 43.70% | 44.40% |
Single-family Distressed Home Sales by Select Counties
(Percent of total sales)
| County | Sept. 2010 | Aug. 2011 | Sept. 2011 |
| Amador | 59% | 59% | 54% |
| Butte | 30% | 42% | 42% |
| Humboldt | 22% | 31% | 19% |
| Kern | 71% | 60% | 61% |
| Lake | 69% | 64% | 61% |
| Los Angeles | 43% | 44% | 46% |
| Madera | 74% | 73% | 65% |
| Marin | 25% | 27% | 35% |
| Mendocino | 50% | 48% | 41% |
| Merced | 50% | 59% | 61% |
| Monterey | 64% | 62% | 59% |
| Napa | 47% | 48% | 51% |
| Orange | 32% | 33% | 36% |
| Riverside | 68% | 62% | 60% |
| Sacramento | 64% | 62% | 64% |
| San Benito | 54% | 67% | 73% |
| San Bernardino | 64% | 64% | 65% |
| San Diego | 25% | 27% | 25% |
| San Luis Obispo | 45% | 45% | 40% |
| San Mateo | 20% | 25% | 26% |
| Santa Clara | 34% | 31% | 35% |
| Santa Cruz | 38% | 35% | 40% |
| Solano | 67% | 71% | 73% |
| Sonoma | 46% | 43% | 49% |
| Tehama | 76% | 56% | 62% |
| CALIFORNIA (rounded) | 44% | 44% | 44% |
*Note: C.A.R.’s pending sales information is generated from a survey of more than 70 associations of REALTORS® and MLSs throughout the state. Pending home sales are forward-looking indicators of future home sales activity, offering solid information on future changes in the direction of the market. A sale is listed as pending after a seller has accepted a sales contract on a property. The majority of pending home sales usually becomes closed sales transactions one to two months later. The year 2008 was used as the benchmark for the Pending Homes Sales Index. An index of 100 is equal to the average level of contract activity during 2008.
Leading the way…® in California real estate for more than 100 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States, with more than 160,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.
