Pending home sales continued to decline in December, indicating a slow start for 2014 California housing market, C.A.R. reports

By CAR -

January 24, 2014

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LOS ANGELES, CA – January 24, 2014 – (RealEstateRama) — A perfect storm of a shortage of available homes for sale, rising interest rates, and higher home prices kept prospective home buyers on the sidelines in December, pushing California pending home sales lower for the second straight month. Meanwhile, equity sales continue to make up more than four of every five home sales, the <a href="http://www.car.org/">CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS</a><sup>®</sup> (C.A.R.) reported today.<span id="more-2874"></span></p> <p><strong>Pending home sales data:</strong></p> <p>• California pending home sales fell in December, with the Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI)* dropping 25.2 percent in December to reach 68.8, down from a revised index of 92 in November, based on signed contracts. The monthly decline was the second straight double-digit drop in the PHSI. Pending sales were down 16.8 percent from the revised 82.8 index recorded in December 2012. Pending home sales are forward-looking indicators of future home sales activity, providing information on the future direction of the market.</p> <p><strong>Distressed housing market data:</strong></p> <p>• After reaching a recent high in November, the share of equity sales – or non-distressed property sales – shrank slightly in December, but still marked the sixth straight month that equity sales have been more than 80 percent of total sales. The share of equity sales in December dipped to 84.3 percent, down from 86.4 percent in November. Equity sales made up 63.4 percent of sales in December 2012. • Conversely, the combined share of all distressed property sales rose in December, when lenders tend to push through more distressed properties to get them off their books by year’s end. The share of distressed property sales increased from 13.6 percent in November to 15.7 percent in December. Distressed sales were down by nearly two-thirds from a year ago, when the share was 35.4 percent. Twenty-six of the 38 reported counties showed a month-to-month increase in the share of distressed sales, with San Diego County having the smallest share at 5 percent.</p> <p>• Of the distressed properties, the share of short sales was 10.1 percent in December, up from 8.8 percent in November. December’s figure was nearly half of the 24.8 percent recorded in December 2012 and remains at the lowest levels since January 2009.</p> <p>• The share of REO sales inched up in December to 5 percent from 4.4 percent in November. It was the fifth straight month that REOs made up 5 percent or less of total sales. REOs made up only 11.4 percent of all sales in December 2012.</p> <p>• With extremely low levels of active listings, housing inventory tightened in December and remains extremely constrained. The Unsold Inventory Index for equity sales fell from 3.6 months in November to 3 months in December. The supply of REOs dropped from 3.4 months in November to 2.8 months in December, and the supply of short sales fell from 4.2 months in November to 3.2 months in December.</p> <p><strong>Charts:</strong></p> <p>• <a href="http://www.car.org/media/ppt/Dec1phsi.pptx">Pending sales</a> compared with closed sales.<br /> • <a href="http://www.car.org/media/ppt/Dec2phsi.pptx">Historical trend</a> in the share of equity sales compared with distressed sales.<br /> • <a href="http://www.car.org/media/ppt/Dec3phsi.pptx">Closed housing sales</a> in December by sales type (equity, distressed).<br /> • <a href="http://www.car.org/media/ppt/Dec4phsi.pptx">Housing supply</a> of REOs, short sales, and equity sales in December.<br /> • <a href="http://www.car.org/media/ppt/Dec5phsi.pptx">A historical trend of </a>REO, short sale, and equity sales housing supply.<br /> • <a href="http://www.car.org/media/ppt/Dec6phsi.pptx">Year-to-year change</a>in sales by property type.<br /> <strong>Share of Distressed Sales to Total Sales<br /> </strong>(Single-family)</p> <table dir="ltr" summary="" width="415" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td dir="ltr"><strong>Type of Sale</strong></td> <td dir="ltr"><strong>Dec. 2013</strong></td> <td dir="ltr"><strong>Nov. 2013</strong></td> <td dir="ltr"><strong> Dec. 2012</strong></td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom">Equity Sales</td> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom">84.3%</td> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom">86.4%</td> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom">63.4%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom">Total Distressed Sales</td> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom">15.7%</td> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom">13.6%</td> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom">36.6%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom"> REOs</td> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom">5.0%</td> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom">4.4%</td> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom">11.4%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom"> Short Sales</td> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom">10.1%</td> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom">8.8%</td> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom">24.8%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom"> Other Distressed Sales (Not Specified)</td> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom">0.5%</td> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom">0.5%</td> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom">0.4%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom"><strong>All Sales </strong></td> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom"><strong>100.0%</strong></td> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom"><strong>100.0%</strong></td> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom"><strong>100.0%</strong></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <p><strong>Single-family Distressed Home Sales by Select Counties<br /> </strong>(Percent of total sales)</p> <table dir="ltr" summary="" width="392" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td dir="ltr"><strong>County</strong></td> <td dir="ltr"><strong>Dec-13</strong></td> <td dir="ltr"><strong>Nov-13</strong></td> <td dir="ltr"><strong> Dec-12</strong></td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Alameda</td> <td dir="ltr">9%</td> <td dir="ltr">6%</td> <td dir="ltr">26%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Amador</td> <td dir="ltr">35%</td> <td dir="ltr">20%</td> <td dir="ltr">37%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Butte</td> <td dir="ltr">15%</td> <td dir="ltr">9%</td> <td dir="ltr">28%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Contra Costa</td> <td dir="ltr">7%</td> <td dir="ltr">6%</td> <td dir="ltr">29%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">El Dorado</td> <td dir="ltr">19%</td> <td dir="ltr">13%</td> <td dir="ltr">37%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Fresno</td> <td dir="ltr">24%</td> <td dir="ltr">26%</td> <td dir="ltr">52%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Humboldt</td> <td dir="ltr">14%</td> <td dir="ltr">18%</td> <td dir="ltr">29%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Kern</td> <td dir="ltr">19%</td> <td dir="ltr">18%</td> <td dir="ltr">39%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Kings</td> <td dir="ltr">28%</td> <td dir="ltr">31%</td> <td dir="ltr">49%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Lake</td> <td dir="ltr">34%</td> <td dir="ltr">25%</td> <td dir="ltr">45%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Los Angeles</td> <td dir="ltr">18%</td> <td dir="ltr">14%</td> <td dir="ltr">35%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Madera</td> <td dir="ltr">15%</td> <td dir="ltr">10%</td> <td dir="ltr">74%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Marin</td> <td dir="ltr">8%</td> <td dir="ltr">6%</td> <td dir="ltr">20%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Mendocino</td> <td dir="ltr">27%</td> <td dir="ltr">26%</td> <td dir="ltr">39%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Merced</td> <td dir="ltr">22%</td> <td dir="ltr">21%</td> <td dir="ltr">51%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Monterey</td> <td dir="ltr">20%</td> <td dir="ltr">14%</td> <td dir="ltr">45%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Napa</td> <td dir="ltr">10%</td> <td dir="ltr">10%</td> <td dir="ltr">39%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Orange</td> <td dir="ltr">10%</td> <td dir="ltr">7%</td> <td dir="ltr">30%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Placer</td> <td dir="ltr">13%</td> <td dir="ltr">13%</td> <td dir="ltr">47%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Riverside</td> <td dir="ltr">17%</td> <td dir="ltr">17%</td> <td dir="ltr">48%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Sacramento</td> <td dir="ltr">19%</td> <td dir="ltr">16%</td> <td dir="ltr">51%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">San Benito</td> <td dir="ltr">15%</td> <td dir="ltr">16%</td> <td dir="ltr">50%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">San Bernardino</td> <td dir="ltr">22%</td> <td dir="ltr">20%</td> <td dir="ltr">44%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">San Diego</td> <td dir="ltr">5%</td> <td dir="ltr">5%</td> <td dir="ltr">13%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">San Joaquin</td> <td dir="ltr">23%</td> <td dir="ltr">21%</td> <td dir="ltr">53%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">San Luis Obispo</td> <td dir="ltr">7%</td> <td dir="ltr">6%</td> <td dir="ltr">26%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">San Mateo</td> <td dir="ltr">6%</td> <td dir="ltr">5%</td> <td dir="ltr">20%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Santa Clara</td> <td dir="ltr">7%</td> <td dir="ltr">4%</td> <td dir="ltr">19%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Santa Cruz</td> <td dir="ltr">15%</td> <td dir="ltr">9%</td> <td dir="ltr">34%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Siskiyou</td> <td dir="ltr">24%</td> <td dir="ltr">22%</td> <td dir="ltr">44%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Solano</td> <td dir="ltr">22%</td> <td dir="ltr">29%</td> <td dir="ltr">58%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Sonoma</td> <td dir="ltr">15%</td> <td dir="ltr">10%</td> <td dir="ltr">37%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Stanislaus</td> <td dir="ltr">22%</td> <td dir="ltr">23%</td> <td dir="ltr">53%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Sutter</td> <td dir="ltr">28%</td> <td dir="ltr">28%</td> <td dir="ltr">NA</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Tehama</td> <td dir="ltr">NA</td> <td dir="ltr">NA</td> <td dir="ltr">50%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Tulare</td> <td dir="ltr">26%</td> <td dir="ltr">20%</td> <td dir="ltr">39%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Yolo</td> <td dir="ltr">18%</td> <td dir="ltr">14%</td> <td dir="ltr">44%</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr">Yuba</td> <td dir="ltr">33%</td> <td dir="ltr">25%</td> <td dir="ltr">NA</td> </tr> <tr> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom"><strong>California</strong></td> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom"><strong>16%</strong></td> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom"><strong>14%</strong></td> <td dir="ltr" valign="bottom"><strong>37%</strong></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <p>NA = not available</p> <p>*Note: C.A.R.’s pending sales information is generated from a survey of more than 70 associations of REALTORS <sup>®</sup> and MLSs throughout the state. Pending home sales are forward-looking indicators of future home sales activity, offering solid information on future changes in the direction of the market. A sale is listed as pending after a seller has accepted a sales contract on a property. The majority of pending home sales usually becomes closed sales transactions one to two months later. The year 2008 was used as the benchmark for the Pending Homes Sales Index. An index of 100 is equal to the average level of contract activity during 2008.</p> <p>Leading the way… <sup>®</sup> in California real estate for more than 100 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS<sup>®</sup> (<a href="http://www.car.org/">www.car.org</a>) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with 165,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. 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title="Napolitano’s Statement on Trump Administration’s Attack on Clean Water">Napolitano’s Statement on Trump Administration’s Attack on Clean Water</a></h3> <div class="meta-info"> <div class="td-post-author-name"> <span>- </span> <a href="https://california.realestaterama.com/author/california">California RealEstateRama</a> <span>- </span> </div> <div class="td-post-date"><time class="entry-date updated td-module-date" datetime="2019-07-05T00:04:12+00:00" >July 5, 2019</time></div> </div> <div class="td-excerpt"> Rep. Grace F. Napolitano (D-El Monte), issued the following statement after the Trump administration announced a new proposal—claiming it to be pro-industry—which would weaken federal clean water rules, putting at risk the health and safety of millions of Americans </div> </div> </div>  <div class="td-block-span12"> <div class="td_module_6 td_module_wrap td-animation-stack td_module_no_thumb"> <div class="item-details"> <h3 class="entry-title td-module-title"><a href="https://california.realestaterama.com/flood-protection-and-water-storage-ID09937.html" rel="bookmark" title="Flood Protection and Water Storage">Flood Protection and Water Storage</a></h3> <div class="meta-info"> <div class="td-post-author-name"> <span>- </span> <a href="https://california.realestaterama.com/author/realestaterama-2">RealEstateRama</a> <span>- </span> </div> <div class="td-post-date"><time class="entry-date updated td-module-date" datetime="2019-07-04T03:31:39+00:00" >July 4, 2019</time></div> </div> </div> </div> </div>  <div class="td-block-span12"> <div class="td_module_6 td_module_wrap td-animation-stack td_module_no_thumb"> <div class="item-details"> <h3 class="entry-title td-module-title"><a href="https://california.realestaterama.com/senators-include-legal-protections-for-military-families-in-privatized-housing-in-defense-bill-ID09930.html" rel="bookmark" title="Senators: Include Legal Protections for Military Families in Privatized Housing in Defense Bill">Senators: Include Legal Protections for Military Families in Privatized Housing in...</a></h3> <div class="meta-info"> <div class="td-post-author-name"> <span>- </span> <a href="https://california.realestaterama.com/author/realestaterama-2">RealEstateRama</a> <span>- </span> </div> <div class="td-post-date"><time class="entry-date updated td-module-date" datetime="2019-04-01T10:24:14+00:00" >April 1, 2019</time></div> </div> </div> </div> </div>  <div class="td-block-span12"> <div class="td_module_6 td_module_wrap td-animation-stack 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