October Pending Home Sales Index
California pending home sales climb from previous month and year, post higher for sixth straight month, C.A.R. reports
LOS ANGELES, CA – November 22, 2011 – (RealEstateRama) — Pending home sales in California rose in October and were up from the previous year for the sixth consecutive month. Additionally, distressed home sales rose in October from both the previous month and year, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported today.
Pending home sales:
California pending home sales climbed 3.1 percent in October and were up from a year ago, according to C.A.R.’s Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI)*. The index was 122.0 in October, based on contracts signed in that month, up from September’s index of a revised 118.2. The index also was up 10.7 percent from October 2010. October marked the sixth consecutive month that pending sales rose from the previous year. Pending home sales are forward-looking indicators of future home sales activity, providing information on the future direction of the market.
“October’s increase in pending sales is encouraging, especially the six straight months of year-over-year increases,” said C.A.R. President LeFrancis Arnold. “Despite all the challenges the housing market has faced this year, California home sales continue to perform modestly well and should be on pace to match or better last year’s level.”
Distressed housing market data:
- At 53.9 percent, equity sales made up more than half of home sales in October, down from 55.5 percent in September and 55.2 percent in October 2010.
- While equity sales have edged down from their peak of 57.1 percent in July 2011, they are up from the beginning of the year when less than half (46.5 percent) of sales were non-distressed.
- The total share of all distressed property types sold statewide rose to 46.1 percent in October, up from September’s 44.5 percent and 44.8 percent in October 2010.
- Of the distressed properties sold statewide in October, 20.7 percent were short sales, slightly up from the previous month’s share of 20.1 percent and up from last October’s share of 19.7 percent.
- At 24.9 percent, the share of REO sales was up from September’s 24.0 percent, and slightly up from the 24.8 percent reported in October 2010.
Multimedia:
- View a chart of pending sales compared with closed sales.
- View a chart of the historical trend in the share of equity sales compared with distressed sales.
- View a chart of housing supply for REOs, short sales, and equity sales.
Share of Distressed Sales to Total Sales
(Single-family)
| Type of Sale | Oct. 2010 | Sept. 2011 | Oct. 2011 |
| REOs | 24.80% | 24.00% | 24.90% |
| Short Sales | 19.70% | 20.10% | 20.70% |
| Other Distressed Sales (Not Specified) | 0.30% | 0.30% | 0.50% |
| Total Distressed Sales | 44.80% | 44.50% | 46.10% |
Single-family Distressed Home Sales by Select Counties
(Percent of total sales)
| County | Oct. 2010 |
Sept. 2011 | Oct. 2011 |
| Amador | 45% | 54% | 46% |
| Butte | 27% | 42% | 43% |
| Humboldt | 26% | 19% | 28% |
| Kern | 65% | 61% | 67% |
| Lake | 65% | 61% | 78% |
| Los Angeles | 46% | 46% | 48% |
| Madera | 63% | 65% | 89% |
| Marin | 24% | 35% | 26% |
| Mendocino | 51% | 41% | 49% |
| Merced | 69% | 61% | 58% |
| Monterey | 56% | 59% | 61% |
| Napa | 50% | 51% | 46% |
| Orange | 36% | 36% | 36% |
| Riverside | 64% | 60% | 63% |
| Sacramento | 64% | 64% | 64% |
| San Benito | 74% | 73% | 72% |
| San Bernardino | 67% | 65% | 65% |
| San Diego | 25% | 25% | 28% |
| San Luis Obispo | 43% | 40% | 46% |
| San Mateo | 25% | 26% | 23% |
| Santa Clara | 33% | 35% | 34% |
| Santa Cruz | 30% | 40% | 40% |
| Solano | 72% | 73% | 72% |
| Sonoma | 46% | 49% | 51% |
| Tehama | 63% | 62% | 49% |
| CALIFORNIA | 45% | 44% | 46% |
**Note: C.A.R.’s pending sales information is generated from a survey of more than 70 associations of REALTORS® and MLSs throughout the state. Pending home sales are forward-looking indicators of future home sales activity, offering solid information on future changes in the direction of the market. A sale is listed as pending after a seller has accepted a sales contract on a property. The majority of pending home sales usually becomes closed sales transactions one to two months later. The year 2008 was used as the benchmark for the Pending Homes Sales Index. An index of 100 is equal to the average level of contract activity during 2008.
Leading the way…® in California real estate for more than 100 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States, with more than 160,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.
