California pending home sales hit near-four-year high in January
LOS ANGELES, CA – February 28, 2013 – (RealEstateRama) — California pending home sales posted the strongest gain in nearly four years during January, rising from both the previous month and year, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported today.
Pending home sales data:
C.A.R.’s Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI)* climbed 23 percent from a revised 82.4 in December to 101.4 in January, based on signed contracts. January’s monthly increase was the highest since March 2009, and greater than the month-to-month long-run average of 12.8 percent in the past four years. Pending sales were up 1.4 percent from the 100 index recorded in January 2012. Pending home sales are forward-looking indicators of future home sales activity, providing information on the future direction of the market.
“The strong increase in January’s pending home sales is an encouraging indication that we’ll kick off the spring home buying season on a solid start,” said C.A.R. President Don Faught. “However, a low supply of available homes for sale will affect buyers, especially first-time buyers looking for more affordable, lower-priced homes since they are having to compete with investors and all-cash buyers.”
Distressed housing market data:
• The share of equity sales – or non-distressed property sales – compared with total sales rose in January after a slight decline in December. The share of equity sales in January increased to 64.4 percent, up from 63.6 percent in December. Equity sales made up less than half (45.3 percent) of all sales in January 2012.
• The combined share of all distressed property sales dropped to 35.6 percent in January, down from 36.4 percent in December and down from 54.7 percent in January 2012.
• Of the distressed properties, the share of short sales was 21.5 percent in January, down from 25 percent in December and down from 25.9 percent a year ago.
• The share of REO sales rose from 11 percent in December to 13.7 percent in January but was down from 28.4 percent in January 2012.
• Housing inventory remained in short supply in January, but loosened up slightly. The Unsold Inventory Index for REOs inched up from 1.9 months in December to 2 months in January. The January Unsold Inventory Index for short sales was 3.1 months, up from 2.4 months in December. The index for equity sales was 3.6 months in January, up from 2.7 months in December.
Charts:
• Pending sales compared with closed sales.
• Historical trend in the share of equity sales compared with distressed sales.
• Closed housing sales in January by sales type (equity, distressed).
• Housing supply of REOs, short sales, and equity sales in January.
• A historical trend of REO, short sale, and equity sales housing supply.
• Year to year change in sales by property type.
Share of Distressed Sales to Total Sales
(Single-family)
| Type of Sale | Jan-13 | Dec-12 | Jan-12 |
| Equity Sales | 64.4% | 63.6% | 45.3% |
| Total Distressed Sales | 35.6% | 36.4% | 54.7% |
| REOs | 13.7% | 11.0% | 28.4% |
| Short Sales | 21.5% | 25.0% | 25.9% |
| Other Distressed Sales (Not Specified) | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| All Sales | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% |
Single-family Distressed Home Sales by Select Counties
(Percent of total sales)
| County | Jan-13 | Dec-12 | Jan-12 |
| Alameda | 21% | 26% | NA |
| Amador | 48% | 37% | 50% |
| Butte | 42% | 28% | 43% |
| Contra Costa | 31% | 29% | NA |
| El Dorado | 37% | 37% | 64% |
| Fresno | 48% | 52% | 66% |
| Humboldt | 23% | 29% | 35% |
| Kern | 38% | 39% | 64% |
| Kings | 38% | 49% | NA |
| Lake | 54% | 45% | 74% |
| Los Angeles | 35% | 35% | 52% |
| Madera | 42% | 74% | 65% |
| Marin | 23% | 20% | 39% |
| Mendocino | 42% | 39% | 49% |
| Merced | 58% | 51% | 65% |
| Monterey | 43% | 45% | 56% |
| Napa | 30% | 39% | 62% |
| Orange | 27% | 30% | 43% |
| Placer | 35% | 47% | 67% |
| Riverside | 45% | 48% | 61% |
| Sacramento | 44% | 51% | 66% |
| San Benito | 39% | 50% | 76% |
| San Bernardino | 42% | 44% | 68% |
| San Diego | 14% | 13% | 30% |
| San Joaquin | 53% | 53% | 67% |
| San Luis Obispo | 30% | 26% | 49% |
| San Mateo | 19% | 20% | 39% |
| Santa Clara | 24% | 19% | 41% |
| Santa Cruz | 38% | 34% | 54% |
| Siskiyou | 57% | 44% | 70% |
| Solano | 59% | 58% | 75% |
| Sonoma | 35% | 37% | 57% |
| Stanislaus | 52% | 53% | 69% |
| Tehama | NA | 50% | 65% |
| Tulare | 43% | 40% | NA |
| Yolo | 39% | 44% | 63% |
| California | 36% | 36% | 55% |
NA = Not available
**Note: C.A.R.’s pending sales information is generated from a survey of more than 70 associations of REALTORS® and MLSs throughout the state. Pending home sales are forward-looking indicators of future home sales activity, offering solid information on future changes in the direction of the market. A sale is listed as pending after a seller has accepted a sales contract on a property. The majority of pending home sales usually becomes closed sales transactions one to two months later. The year 2008 was used as the benchmark for the Pending Homes Sales Index. An index of 100 is equal to the average level of contract activity during 2008.
Leading the way…® in California real estate for more than 100 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with 155,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.
