California housing market continues strong performance in October
LOS ANGELES, CA – November 16, 2012 – (RealEstateRama) — California’s housing market continued its momentum in October, posting strong year-over-year sales and price gains in nearly every county of the state, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported.
“Sales surged to the highest level since May, with demand continuing to be strong across all parts of the state,” said 2013 C.A.R. President Don Faught. “Sales were particularly robust in the coastal markets, but they also rose significantly in many non-metropolitan areas, as confidence toward the housing market continued to improve. Most counties in the Northern California region, for example, posted double-digit year-over-year sales gains in October.”
Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California totaled a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 544,380 units, according to information collected by C.A.R. from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations and MLSs statewide. Sales in October were up 12.5 percent from a revised 484,050 in September and up 10.2 percent from a revised 493,790 in October 2011. The statewide sales figure represents what would be the total number of homes sold during 2012 if sales maintained the October pace throughout the year. It is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically influence home sales.
The statewide median price of an existing, single-family detached home declined 1.1 percent from September’s $345,000 median price to $341,370 in October. October’s price was up 23 percent from a revised $277,450 recorded in October 2011, marking the eighth consecutive month of annual price increases and the fourth consecutive month of double-digit annual gains. The year-to-year increase was the largest since May 2010.
“Although the statewide median price was off its recent high reached last month, it is not unusual to see an October dip in price as we transition from the peak season to the low season,” said C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young. “The year-over-year price gain, on the other hand, has been accelerating since early 2012, as sales of higher-priced homes continue to improve. With the supply shortage, especially of lower-priced homes, expected to remain an issue in the near future, we will likely see solid year-over-year price gains through the first quarter of next year, as sales of higher-priced homes grow.”
Other key facts of C.A.R.’s October 2012 resale housing report include:
• California’s housing inventory tightened in October, with the Unsold Inventory Index for existing, single-family detached homes dropping to 3.1 months, down from 3.7 months in September and a revised 5.5 months in October 2011. The index indicates the number of months needed to sell the supply of homes on the market at the current sales rate. A six- to seven-month supply is considered normal.
• Interest rates dipped further in October, with the 30-year fixed-mortgage interest rate averaging 3.38 percent during October 2012, down from 3.47 percent in September, and down from 4.07 percent in October 2011, according to Freddie Mac. Adjustable-mortgage interest rates also edged down in October, averaging 2.59 percent, down from 2.60 percent in September and down from 2.92 percent in October 2011.
• Homes continued to sell at a faster pace in October, with the median number of days it took to sell a single-family home falling to 38 days in October 2012 from 39.3 days in September and down from a revised 55.1 days for the same period a year ago.
Multimedia:
• Unsold Inventory by price range.
• Change in sales by price range.
Note: The County MLS median price and sales data in the tables are generated from a survey of more than 90 associations of REALTORS® throughout the state, and represent statistics of existing single-family detached homes only. County sales data are not adjusted to account for seasonal factors that can influence home sales. Movements in sales prices should not be interpreted as changes in the cost of a standard home. Median prices can be influenced by changes in cost, as well as changes in the characteristics and the size of homes sold. Due to the low sales volume in some areas, median price changes in September may exhibit unusual fluctuation.
Leading the way…® in California real estate for more than 100 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with 155,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.
October 2012 County Sales and Price Activity
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)
| October 2012 | Median Sold Price of Existing Single-Family Homes | Sales | |||||||
| State/Region/County | Oct-12 | Sep-12 | Oct-11 | MTM% Chg | YTY% Chg | MTM% Chg | YTY% Chg | ||
| CA SFH (SAAR) | $341,370 | $345,000 | $277,450 | r | -1.1% | 23.0% | 12.5% | 10.2% | |
| CA Condo/Townhomes | $267,010 | $264,880 | $222,270 | r | 0.8% | 20.1% | 12.2% | 20.2% | |
| Los Angeles Metropolitan Area | $318,660 | $318,470 | $266,650 | 0.1% | 19.5% | 17.4% | 14.2% | ||
| Inland Empire | $198,100 | $198,270 | $171,000 | -0.1% | 15.8% | 9.3% | 3.5% | ||
| S.F. Bay Area | $593,080 | $554,450 | $464,100 | 7.0% | 27.8% | 17.3% | 24.0% | ||
| S.F. Bay Area | |||||||||
| Alameda | $535,620 | $491,670 | $451,280 | 8.9% | 18.7% | 28.4% | 34.0% | ||
| Contra-Costa (Central County) | $639,560 | $655,340 | $532,550 | -2.4% | 20.1% | -4.0% | 18.5% | ||
| Marin | $806,370 | $769,230 | $781,250 | 4.8% | 3.2% | 20.8% | 46.3% | ||
| Napa | $426,190 | $381,670 | $330,430 | 11.7% | 29.0% | 29.4% | 38.2% | ||
| San Francisco | $767,860 | $678,080 | $666,670 | 13.2% | 15.2% | 37.1% | 32.7% | ||
| San Mateo | $819,000 | $779,000 | $672,000 | 5.1% | 21.9% | 35.8% | 40.7% | ||
| Santa Clara | $688,000 | $650,000 | $549,000 | 5.8% | 25.3% | 11.7% | 25.6% | ||
| Solano | $220,560 | $196,980 | $191,050 | 12.0% | 15.4% | 2.2% | -9.8% | ||
| Sonoma | $374,640 | $368,590 | $322,600 | 1.6% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 17.0% | ||
| Southern California | |||||||||
| Los Angeles | $364,810 | $373,020 | $307,970 | -2.2% | 18.5% | 30.0% | 16.8% | ||
| Orange County | $558,680 | $561,830 | $484,390 | -0.6% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 35.9% | ||
| Riverside County | $230,730 | $228,900 | $195,760 | 0.8% | 17.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | ||
| San Bernardino | $148,480 | $150,090 | $132,210 | -1.1% | 12.3% | 17.6% | 1.8% | ||
| San Diego | $395,470 | $404,880 | $357,380 | -2.3% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 36.0% | ||
| Ventura | $416,350 | $432,790 | $399,160 | -3.8% | 4.3% | -11.9% | 7.5% | ||
| Central Coast | |||||||||
| Monterey | $315,000 | $330,000 | $266,000 | -4.5% | 18.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | ||
| San Luis Obispo | $395,140 | $424,390 | $364,540 | -6.9% | 8.4% | 23.3% | 30.5% | ||
| Santa Barbara | $529,600 | $407,690 | $328,570 | r | 29.9% | 61.2% | 0.5% | 7.3% | |
| Santa Cruz | $499,500 | $560,000 | $467,500 | -10.8% | 6.8% | -4.2% | 23.6% | ||
| Central Valley | |||||||||
| Fresno | $151,850 | $159,140 | $140,100 | r | -4.6% | 8.4% | 23.9% | 5.6% | |
| Kern (Bakersfield) | $155,000 | $150,000 | r | $134,000 | r | 3.3% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 0.4% |
| Kings County | $151,430 | $156,670 | $138,180 | -3.3% | 9.6% | 48.5% | 63.3% | ||
| Madera | $140,000 | $120,000 | $132,500 | 16.7% | 5.7% | -26.7% | -52.2% | ||
| Merced | $123,000 | $138,570 | $121,430 | -11.2% | 1.3% | 23.5% | -8.3% | ||
| Placer County | $300,440 | $308,590 | $255,900 | r | -2.6% | 17.4% | 3.0% | -2.6% | |
| Sacramento | $189,800 | $180,830 | $163,160 | r | 5.0% | 16.3% | 19.1% | 4.0% | |
| San Benito | $280,000 | $311,000 | $268,000 | -10.0% | 4.5% | 12.2% | 19.6% | ||
| San Joaquin | $179,570 | $179,780 | $156,710 | -0.1% | 14.6% | 25.9% | 0.4% | ||
| Stanislaus | $151,360 | $151,500 | $133,290 | -0.1% | 13.6% | 17.7% | -10.8% | ||
| Tulare | $142,500 | $135,480 | $123,080 | 5.2% | 15.8% | 10.8% | -20.1% | ||
| Other Counties in California | |||||||||
| Amador | $192,000 | $196,670 | $147,140 | -2.4% | 30.5% | 0.0% | 22.0% | ||
| Butte County | $210,940 | $207,140 | $186,150 | 1.8% | 13.3% | 22.0% | 13.0% | ||
| El Dorado County | $276,350 | $279,170 | $256,580 | -1.0% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 38.7% | ||
| Humboldt | $243,270 | $223,610 | $228,950 | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 21.8% | ||
| Lake County | $111,430 | $146,670 | $96,500 | -24.0% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 13.0% | ||
| Tuolumne | $168,000 | $155,710 | $175,000 | 7.9% | -4.0% | 29.2% | 10.5% | ||
| Mendocino | $262,500 | $211,360 | $260,710 | 24.2% | 0.7% | 17.0% | 48.6% | ||
| Shasta | $175,710 | $166,670 | $146,500 | 5.4% | 19.9% | 11.3% | 18.0% | ||
| Siskiyou County | $180,000 | $140,000 | $150,000 | 28.6% | 20.0% | 13.3% | 25.9% | ||
| Tehama | $116,670 | $127,500 | $112,500 | -8.5% | 3.7% | 40.0% | 32.4% | ||
| Yolo | $245,000 | $238,890 | $202,080 | 2.6% | 21.2% | 5.1% | 21.2% | ||
October 2012 County Unsold Inventory and Time on Market
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)
| October 2012 | Unsold Inventory Index | Median Time on Market | ||||||||
| State/Region/County | Oct-12 | Sep-12 | Oct-11 | Oct-12 | Sep-12 | Oct-11 | ||||
| CA SFH (SAAR) | 3.1 | 3.7 | 5.5 | r | 38.0 | 39.3 | 55.1 | r | ||
| CA Condo/Townhomes | 3.0 | 3.6 | 6.0 | r | 46.1 | 46.7 | 63.7 | r | ||
| Los Angeles Metropolitan Area | 3.3 | 3.8 | 5.8 | 46.1 | 47.2 | 57.5 | ||||
| Inland Empire | 3.5 | 3.8 | 5.0 | 44.1 | 45.3 | 48.3 | ||||
| S.F. Bay Area | 2.5 | 3.2 | 5.0 | 43.4 | 40.4 | 57.6 | ||||
| S.F. Bay Area | ||||||||||
| Alameda | 2.0 | 2.6 | 4.9 | 58.3 | 59.2 | 80.1 | ||||
| Contra-Costa (Central County) | 1.8 | 2.4 | 4.7 | 58.3 | 63.6 | 88.3 | ||||
| Marin | 3.5 | 4.7 | 6.4 | 53.0 | 51.6 | 52.8 | ||||
| Napa | 4.1 | 5.7 | 7.7 | 74.8 | 67.6 | 68.7 | ||||
| San Francisco | 2.9 | 4.3 | 6.1 | 29.9 | 29.4 | 44.7 | ||||
| San Mateo | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.7 | 22.0 | 21.0 | 27.7 | ||||
| Santa Clara | 1.9 | 2.3 | 3.9 | 21.6 | 20.8 | 27.5 | ||||
| Solano | 3.4 | 3.7 | 5.0 | 45.3 | 55.5 | 49.7 | ||||
| Sonoma | 3.3 | 4.3 | 5.8 | 61.2 | 61.5 | 81.7 | ||||
| Sourthern California | ||||||||||
| Los Angeles | 3.0 | 3.7 | 5.7 | 40.3 | 42.8 | 56.4 | ||||
| Orange County | 3.2 | 4.1 | 6.9 | 57.8 | 56.1 | 78.8 | ||||
| Riverside County | 3.4 | 3.6 | 5.1 | 44.3 | 46.3 | 56.1 | ||||
| San Bernardino | 3.5 | 4.1 | 4.9 | 43.8 | 43.7 | 44.9 | ||||
| San Diego | 3.7 | 4.3 | 7.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 58.8 | ||||
| Ventura | 4.6 | 4.3 | 6.9 | 69.1 | 55.4 | 77.1 | ||||
| Central Coast | ||||||||||
| Monterey | 3.8 | 4.2 | 6.1 | 27.7 | 28.2 | 48.4 | ||||
| San Luis Obispo | 3.9 | 5.1 | 6.0 | 42.7 | 51.8 | 70.2 | ||||
| Santa Barbara | 4.9 | 5.1 | 7.1 | 47.7 | 55.0 | 54.6 | r | |||
| Santa Cruz | 3.3 | 3.1 | 5.4 | 25.3 | 34.6 | 49.0 | ||||
| Central Valley | ||||||||||
| Fresno | 3.7 | 4.7 | 4.2 | r | 26.0 | 26.8 | 32.3 | r | ||
| Kern (Bakersfield) | 1.1 | 2.9 | 4.2 | r | NA | NA | NA | |||
| Kings County | 2.5 | 4.1 | 5.9 | 44.9 | 37.2 | 74.2 | ||||
| Madera | 4.8 | 3.5 | 4.3 | 27.6 | 43.9 | 38.3 | ||||
| Merced | 2.8 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 27.6 | 27.8 | 39.9 | ||||
| Placer County | 2.7 | 2.8 | NA | 24.9 | 26.5 | 51.7 | r | |||
| Sacramento | 1.9 | 2.4 | 4.4 | r | 22.5 | 24.1 | 42.1 | r | ||
| San Benito | 2.7 | 3.0 | 4.9 | 21.4 | 23.9 | 48.1 | ||||
| San Joaquin | 2.1 | 2.9 | NA | 23.0 | 23.1 | 38.7 | ||||
| Stanislaus | 2.2 | 2.6 | NA | 23.6 | 24.4 | 36.9 | ||||
| Tulare | 3.7 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 22.2 | 25.8 | 41.5 | ||||
| Other Counties in California | ||||||||||
| Amador | 5.5 | 5.6 | 7.9 | 56.4 | 82.8 | 50.9 | ||||
| Butte County | 3.6 | 4.6 | 5.4 | 42.6 | 41.2 | 51.1 | ||||
| El Dorado County | 3.7 | 4.4 | r | NA | 42.2 | 48.1 | 74.9 | |||
| Humboldt | 5.7 | 6.3 | 7.9 | 68.8 | 64.6 | 67.1 | ||||
| Lake County | 5.6 | 6.7 | 8.0 | 55.9 | 64.2 | 87.3 | ||||
| Tuolumne | 4.5 | 6.7 | 6.8 | 68.3 | 58.9 | 86.4 | ||||
| Mendocino | 6.3 | 7.6 | 10.8 | 70.2 | 93.4 | 59.0 | ||||
| Shasta | 4.1 | 4.7 | 5.7 | 31.7 | 37.8 | 48.9 | ||||
| Siskiyou County | 10.9 | 13.2 | 15.2 | 57.4 | 61.0 | 71.4 | ||||
| Tehama | 4.5 | 6.9 | 8.3 | 58.7 | 52.8 | 49.6 | ||||
| Yolo | 2.5 | 2.7 | 4.2 | 27.2 | 32.3 | 40.1 |
r =revised
