California Foreclosure Starts Up From First Quarter

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WASHINGTON, D.C. – July 23, 2013 – (RealEstateRama) — While up from the first quarter, the number of California homeowners entering the foreclosure process was at its second-lowest level in seven years last quarter, largely the result of a steep rise in home values, a real estate information service reported.

Lenders filed 25,747 Notices of Default (NoDs) during the April-to-June period. That was up 38.7 percent from 18,568 for the previous quarter, and down 52.9 percent from 54,615 for second-quarter 2012, according to San Diego-based DataQuick.

The 18,568 NoDs filed in the first quarter of this year marked the lowest quarterly total since fourth-quarter 2005, when 15,337 NoDs were recorded. In addition to less distress in the housing market pipeline, this year’s remarkably low first-quarter number mainly reflected policy and regulatory changes.

NoD filings plummeted early this year as a package of new state foreclosure laws – the “Homeowner Bill of Rights” – took effect on January 1. In California and other states in recent years foreclosure activity has sometimes plunged temporarily after a new law kicks in and the industry takes time to adjust.

Setting aside this year’s first quarter, last quarter’s NoD tally was the lowest since second-quarter 2006, when 20,909 NoDs were recorded. California NoDs peaked in first-quarter 2009 at 135,431. DataQuick’s NoD statistics go back to 1992.

“At this point in the cycle, it’s fairly straightforward to see what’s going on. Just do the math – it’s not calculus, it’s 4th grade arithmetic. A foreclosure only makes sense when the home is worth less than what is owed on it. As home values rise, fewer homeowners owe more on their homes than the homes are worth,” said John Walsh, DataQuick president.

The median price paid for a California home was $344,000 during the second quarter, up 14.7 percent from $300,000 for the prior quarter and up 27.4 percent from $270,000 in second-quarter 2012. The median peaked in second-quarter 2007 at $485,500 and hit bottom at $235,000 in second-quarter 2009, DataQuick reported.

Mortgage defaults remained far more concentrated in the state’s most affordable neighborhoods. Zip codes with second-quarter 2013 median sale prices below $200,000 collectively saw 4.2 NoDs filed for every 1,000 homes in those zip codes. The ratio was 2.8 NoDs per 1,000 homes for zip codes with $200,000-to-$800,000 medians, while there were 1.1 NoDs filed per 1,000 homes for the group of zips with medians above $800,000.

Most of the loans going into default are from the 2005-2007 period. The median origination quarter for defaulted loans is still third-quarter 2006. That has been the case for four years, indicating that weak underwriting standards peaked then.

On primary mortgages, California homeowners were a median 7.6 months behind on their payments when the lender filed the Notice of Default. The borrowers owed a median $16,155 on a median $312,000 mortgage.

On home equity loans and lines of credit in default, borrowers owed a median $5,307 on a median $68,332 credit line. The amount of the credit line that was actually in use cannot be determined from public records.

The most active “beneficiaries” in the formal foreclosure process last quarter were Wells Fargo (3,969), JP Morgan Chase (3,801) and Nationstar (2,565).

The trustees who pursued the highest number of defaults last quarter were Recontrust Co. (mainly for Bank of America and Bank of New York), Quality Loan Service Corp (Wells Fargo and others) and NDEx West (Wells Fargo, OneWest and others).

San Diego-based DataQuick monitors real estate activity nationwide and provides information to consumers, educational institutions, public agencies, lending institutions, title companies and industry analysts. Notices of Default are recorded at county recorders offices and mark the first step of the formal foreclosure process.

Although 25,747 default notices were filed last quarter, they involved 24,999 homes because some borrowers were in default on multiple loans (e.g. a primary mortgage and a line of credit).

Among the state’s larger counties, loans were least likely to go into default last quarter in San Francisco, Santa Clara and San Mateo counties. The probability was highest in Solano, Fresno and Riverside counties.

Trustees Deeds recorded (TDs), or the finalized loss of a home to the formal foreclosure process, totaled 9,840 last quarter, down 27.6 percent from 13,592 the prior quarter and down 55.0 percent from 21,851 in second-quarter 2012. Last quarter marked the first time there were fewer than 10,000 foreclosures in a quarter since fourth-quarter 2006, when there were 6,078. The all-time peak was 79,511 foreclosures in third-quarter 2008. The state’s all-time low was 637 in second-quarter 2005, DataQuick reported.

Foreclosures remained most concentrated in the state’s most affordable communities. Zip codes with second-quarter 2013 median sale prices below $200,000 collectively saw 2.2 homes foreclosed on for every 1,000 homes in existence. That compares with 1.0 foreclosures per 1,000 homes for zips with medians from $200,000 to $800,000, and 0.3 foreclosures per 1,000 homes in the group of zips with medians over $800,000.

On average, homes foreclosed on last quarter took 9.1 months to wind their way through the formal foreclosure process, beginning with an NoD. That’s up from an average of 8.1 months the prior quarter and up from 7.7 months a year earlier.

At formal foreclosure auctions held statewide last quarter, an estimated 54.2 percent of the foreclosed properties were bought by investors or others that don’t appear to be lender or government entities. That was up from an estimated 47.4 percent the previous quarter and up from 39.2 percent a year earlier, DataQuick reported.

Foreclosure resales – properties foreclosed on in the prior 12 months – accounted for 11.6 percent of all California resale activity last quarter. That was down from a revised 17.1 percent the prior quarter and down from 27.8 percent a year ago. Foreclosure resales peaked at 57.8 percent in first-quarter 2009. Among the state’s larger counties last quarter, foreclosure resales varied from 2.8 percent in San Francisco County to 28.2 percent in Madera County.

Short sales – transactions where the sale price fell short of what was owed on the property – made up an estimated 16.6 percent of the state’s resale market last quarter. That was down from an estimated 21.4 percent the prior quarter and 24.0 percent a year earlier.

Notices of Default (Trustees Deeds further down)
houses and condos

County/Region 2012Q2 2013Q1 2013Q2 Qtr-Qtr %chng Yr/Yr %chng
Los Angeles    10,568     3,984     5,525    38.7%   -47.7%
Orange     3,599     1,282     1,651    28.8%   -54.1%
San Diego     4,099     1,471     2,008    36.5%   -51.0%
Riverside     5,677     1,806     2,522    39.6%   -55.6%
San Bernardino     4,487     1,668     2,172    30.2%   -51.6%
Ventura     1,152       411       546    32.8%   -52.6%
Imperial       250       101       133    31.7%   -46.8%
Socal    29,832    10,723    14,557    35.8%   -51.2%
San Francisco       295       103       119    15.5%   -59.7%
Alameda     1,789       555       842    51.7%   -52.9%
Contra Costa     2,214       785       933    18.9%   -57.9%
Santa Clara     1,474       441       644    46.0%   -56.3%
San Mateo       613       216       277    28.2%   -54.8%
Marin       220        87       128    47.1%   -41.8%
Solano     1,137       345       492    42.6%   -56.7%
Sonoma       680       194       286    47.4%   -57.9%
Napa       150        46        51    10.9%   -66.0%
Bay Area     8,572     2,772     3,772    36.1%   -56.0%
Santa Cruz       258        74       107    44.6%   -58.5%
Santa Barbara       442       147       205    39.5%   -53.6%
San Luis Obispo       313       100       137    37.0%   -56.2%
Monterey       443       142       201    41.5%   -54.6%
Coast     1,456       463       650    40.4%   -55.4%
Sacramento     3,202     1,022     1,411    38.1%   -55.9%
San Joaquin     1,580       465       671    44.3%   -57.5%
Placer       788       173       309    78.6%   -60.8%
Kern     1,508       503       712    41.6%   -52.8%
Fresno     1,637       551       784    42.3%   -52.1%
Madera       279       100       131    31.0%   -53.0%
Merced       483       140       177    26.4%   -63.4%
Tulare       831       274       384    40.1%   -53.8%
Yolo       222        70       100    42.9%   -55.0%
El Dorado       289       117       175    49.6%   -39.4%
Stanislaus     1,133       315       475    50.8%   -58.1%
Kings       230        73       111    52.1%   -51.7%
San Benito       105        26        35    34.6%   -66.7%
Yuba       157        55        81    47.3%   -48.4%
Colusa        44        10        23   130.0%   -47.7%
Sutter       175        57        88    54.4%   -49.7%
Central Valley    12,663     3,951     5,667    43.4%   -55.2%
Mountains*       648       225       322    43.1%   -50.3%
North Calif*     1,444       434       779    79.5%   -46.1%
Statewide*    54,615    18,568    25,747    38.7%   -52.9%

 includes additional counties

Trustees Deeds Recorded (number of homes foreclosed on)
houses and condos

County/Region 2012Q2 2013Q1 2013Q2 Qtr-Qtr %chng Yr/Yr %chng
Los Angeles   3,553     2,217     1,646   -25.8%   -53.7%
Orange   1,052       572       439   -23.3%   -58.3%
San Diego   1,391       882       607   -31.2%   -56.4%
Riverside   2,395     1,379     1,068   -22.6%   -55.4%
San Bernardino   2,012     1,363       969   -28.9%   -51.8%
Ventura     360       255       165   -35.3%   -54.2%
Imperial     147        89        72   -19.1%  -51.0%
Socal 10,910     6,757     4,966   -26.5%   -54.5%
        0
San Francisco     103        53        45   -15.1%   -56.3%
Alameda     638       375       233   -37.9%   -63.5%
Contra Costa     900       528       378   -28.4%   -58.0%
Santa Clara     392       194       126   -35.1%   -67.9%
San Mateo     182        92        62   -32.6%   -65.9%
Marin      74        52        29   -44.2%   -60.8%
Solano     475       240       227    -5.4%   -52.2%
Sonoma     258       154       128   -16.9%   -50.4%
Napa      61        54        27   -50.0%   -55.7%
Bay Area   3,083     1,742     1,255   -28.0%   -59.3%
        0
Santa Cruz      84        65        47   -27.7%   -44.0%
Santa Barbara     185       106        78   -26.4%   -57.8%
San Luis Obispo     107        74        58   -21.6%   -45.8%
Monterey     167       132        79   -40.2%   -52.7%
Coast     543       377       262   -30.5%   -51.7%
        0
Sacramento   1,562       917       651   -29.0%   -58.3%
San Joaquin     729       438       292   -33.3%   -59.9%
Placer     320       215       119   -44.7%   -62.8%
Kern     802       502       330   -34.3%   -58.9%
Fresno     780       508       430   -15.4%   -44.9%
Madera     151       124        88   -29.0%   -41.7%
Merced     230       169        89   -47.3%   -61.3%
Tulare     408       221       178   -19.5%   -56.4%
Yolo     110        76        45   -40.8%   -59.1%
El Dorado     149        90        76   -15.6%   -49.0%
Stanislaus     533       371       232   -37.5%   -56.5%
Kings     118        77        61   -20.8%   -48.3%
San Benito      47        19        14   -26.3%   -70.2%
Yuba      91        47        44    -6.4%   -51.6%
Colusa      17        13         8   -38.5%   -52.9%
Sutter     113        49        43   -12.2%   -61.9%
Central Valley   6,160     3,836     2,700   -29.6%   -56.2%
Mountains*     358       262       186   -29.0%   -48.0%
North Calif*     797       618       471   -23.8%   -40.9%
Statewide* 21,851    13,592     9,840   -27.6%   -55.0%

* includes additional counties

Source: DataQuick; DQNews.com

Media calls: Andrew LePage (916) 456-7157

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