California housing market continues to post strong gains in May, home sales rise to highest level in more than three years; low inventory a critical issue
LOS ANGELES, CA – June 18, 2012 – (RealEstateRama) — California’s housing market continued to improve in May, with home prices posting solid gains for the third straight month and home sales well above last year’s pace, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today.
“California home sales were strong in May, continuing the gradual recovery of the California housing market,” said C.A.R. President LeFrancis Arnold. “First-time buyers are recognizing that the housing market has hit bottom and are now seeing a sense of urgency to take advantage of ultra-low interest rates and advantageous home prices. Additionally, trade-up buyers are returning to the market after sitting it out for the past few years to get in on favorable home prices.”
Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California climbed 3.4 percent from April’s revised 553,670 to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 572,260 in May, according to information collected by C.A.R. from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations and MLSs statewide. May sales surged 21.5 percent from May 2011’s revised 470,910 pace, marking the highest year-over-year sales increase since May 2009. The statewide sales figure represents what would be the total number of homes sold during 2012 if sales maintained the May pace throughout the year and is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically influence home sales.
The May 2012 sales pace was the highest since February 2009, when 598,770 homes were sold at a seasonally adjusted annualized rate.
Home prices appear to be stabilizing, with the median home price posting both month-over-month and year-over-year gains for the third consecutive month. The statewide median price of an existing, single-family detached home was $312,110 in May, the highest since September 2010.
May’s price was up 1 percent from a revised $309,050 in April and 6.6 percent from a revised $292,850 recorded in May 2011. The May 2012 figure was 27.3 percent higher than the cyclical bottom of $245,230 reached in February 2009. The median price has posted above the $300,000 level for the second straight month after remaining below that mark for 15 months.
The increase in the median price can be attributed to the strong sales increase in the higher-priced coastal regions, particularly in the San Francisco Bay Area, where job growth is strong and the economy is growing faster than other areas of the state.
California’s housing inventory sank lower in May, with the Unsold Inventory Index for existing, single-family detached homes dropping to 3.5 months in May, down from 4.2 months in April. May’s housing inventory was down from a revised 5.7 months in May 2011. The index indicates the number of months needed to sell the supply of homes on the market at the current sales rate. A 7-month supply is considered normal.
“Low housing inventory continues to be the critical issue in the California market,” said C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young. “Inventory levels have not been this low since December 2005, when the supply matched the current level. The Bay Area has the greatest shortage of homes for sale, with inventory levels in the two- to three-month range for Santa Clara, San Mateo, Alameda, and Contra Costa counties.”
Interest rates continued their downward trend in May, with 30-year fixed-mortgage interest rates averaging 3.80 percent, down from 3.91 percent in April and 4.64 percent in May 2011, according to Freddie Mac. Adjustable-mortgage interest rates averaged 2.74 percent in May, down from 2.78 in April and 3.13 percent in May 2011.
Homes are moving faster on the market with the median number of days it takes to sell a single-family home dropping to 46.6 days in May, down from a revised 48.9 days in April and 52.0 days in May 2011.
· View Unsold Inventory by price range.
Note: The County MLS median price and sales data in the tables are generated from a survey of more than 90 associations of REALTORS® throughout the state, and represent statistics of existing single-family detached homes only. County sales data are not adjusted to account for seasonal factors that can influence home sales. Movements in sales prices should not be interpreted as changes in the cost of a standard home. Median prices can be influenced by changes in cost, as well as changes in the characteristics and the size of homes sold. Due to the low sales volume in some areas, median price changes in December may exhibit unusual fluctuation.
Leading the way…® in California real estate for more than 100 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with 155,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)
| May 2012 | Median Price of Existing Single-Family Homes | Sales | |||||||
| State/Region/County | May 2012 | April 2012 | May 2011 | MTM% Chg | YTY% Chg | MTM% Chg | YTY% Chg | ||
| CA SFH (SAAR) | $312,110 | $309,050 | r | $292,850 | r | 1.0% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 21.5% |
| CA Condo/Townhomes | $245,530 | $239,820 | r | $233,390 | r | 2.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 12.3% |
| Los Angeles Metropolitan Area | $289,280 | $289,700 | $276,680 | -0.1% | 4.6% | 18.0% | 18.2% | ||
| Inland Empire | $180,530 | $181,770 | $172,110 | -0.7% | 4.9% | 16.5% | 13.9% | ||
| S.F. Bay Area | $550,400 | $526,370 | $510,800 | r | 4.6% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 20.7% | |
| S.F. Bay Area | |||||||||
| Alameda | $485,660 | $456,910 | $465,560 | r | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 19.5% | |
| Contra-Costa (Central County) | $671,100 | $626,970 | $602,860 | 7.0% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 25.7% | ||
| Marin | $791,670 | $783,850 | $807,140 | 1.0% | -1.9% | 0.0% | 27.3% | ||
| Napa | $343,750 | $363,890 | $377,270 | -5.5% | -8.9% | 24.6% | 20.3% | ||
| San Francisco | $717,500 | $693,750 | $641,670 | 3.4% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 2.1% | ||
| San Mateo | $775,000 | $745,000 | $800,000 | 4.0% | -3.1% | 13.1% | 13.6% | ||
| Santa Clara | $643,500 | $636,000 | $599,950 | r | 1.2% | 7.3% | 20.7% | 23.5% | |
| Solano | $192,980 | $191,220 | $191,850 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 15.4% | 12.1% | ||
| Sonoma | $342,520 | $343,750 | $353,750 | -0.4% | -3.2% | 12.5% | 40.5% | ||
| Southern California | |||||||||
| Los Angeles | $274,000 | $286,800 | $271,540 | -4.5% | 0.9% | 23.2% | 17.9% | ||
| Orange County | $538,340 | $513,950 | $544,700 | 4.7% | -1.2% | 10.7% | 22.9% | ||
| Riverside County | $213,240 | $213,950 | $200,000 | -0.3% | 6.6% | 17.7% | 14.7% | ||
| San Bernardino | $134,660 | $132,030 | $127,380 | 2.0% | 5.7% | 14.4% | 12.3% | ||
| San Diego | $379,800 | $369,910 | $382,300 | 2.7% | -0.7% | 11.9% | 25.6% | ||
| Ventura | $424,630 | $427,320 | $425,000 | -0.6% | -0.1% | 13.5% | 38.2% | ||
| Central Coast | |||||||||
| Monterey | $295,000 | $280,000 | $250,000 | r | 5.4% | 18.0% | 12.6% | 5.4% | |
| San Luis Obispo | $382,470 | $360,670 | $381,450 | 6.0% | 0.3% | 31.3% | 42.8% | ||
| Santa Barbara | $518,180 | $411,540 | $428,950 | r | 25.9% | 20.8% | 30.7% | 29.4% | |
| Santa Cruz | $500,000 | $475,000 | $436,250 | r | 5.3% | 14.6% | 37.9% | 50.7% | |
| Central Valley | |||||||||
| Fresno | $141,580 | $140,100 | $136,850 | r | 1.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | |
| Kern (Bakersfield) | $137,000 | $145,250 | r | $135,000 | -5.7% | 1.5% | -0.7% | -13.5% | |
| Kings County | $145,000 | $151,870 | $137,690 | -4.5% | 5.3% | -8.6% | -1.3% | ||
| Madera | $124,290 | $137,500 | $116,670 | -9.6% | 6.5% | -15.4% | -21.4% | ||
| Merced | $119,410 | $120,000 | $111,850 | -0.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.6% | ||
| Placer County | $275,000 | $276,150 | $255,490 | r | -0.4% | 7.6% | 17.4% | 10.3% | |
| Sacramento | $169,880 | $168,820 | r | $166,240 | r | 0.6% | 2.2% | 14.9% | 11.1% |
| San Benito | $275,000 | $287,450 | $275,000 | r | -4.3% | 0.0% | 3.2% | -1.5% | |
| Tulare | $123,190 | $128,370 | $117,960 | r | -4.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | -10.9% | |
| Other Counties in California | |||||||||
| Amador | $160,000 | $183,330 | $171,250 | -12.7% | -6.6% | 0.0% | 12.2% | ||
| Butte County | $211,290 | $197,620 | $222,620 | 6.9% | -5.1% | -0.9% | 38.1% | ||
| Humboldt | $229,810 | $240,280 | $250,000 | -4.4% | -8.1% | 13.0% | 50.0% | ||
| Lake County | $128,000 | $113,330 | $105,560 | 12.9% | 21.3% | 46.2% | 44.3% | ||
| Tuolumne | $160,000 | $160,000 | $181,430 | 0.0% | -11.8% | 47.8% | 28.3% | ||
| Mendocino | $254,540 | $209,090 | $281,250 | 21.7% | -9.5% | -7.7% | 45.5% | ||
| Shasta | $161,480 | $164,540 | $151,110 | -1.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | -1.0% | ||
| Siskiyou County | $152,500 | $103,330 | $100,000 | r | 47.6% | 52.5% | 34.5% | 39.3% | |
| Tehama | $124,000 | $160,000 | $117,500 | -22.5% | 5.5% | 26.3% | 14.3% | ||
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)
| May 2012 | Unsold Inventory Index | Median Time on Market | ||||||||
| State/Region/County | May 2012 | April 2012 | May 2011 | May 2012 | April 2012 | May 2011 | ||||
| CA SFH (SAAR) | 3.5 | 4.2 | 5.7 | r | 46.6 | 48.9 | r | 52.0 | ||
| CA Condo/Townhomes | 3.6 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 53.6 | 55.3 | r | 57.9 | |||
| Los Angeles Metropolitan Area | 3.6 | 4.5 | 6.0 | 53.2 | 54.8 | 55.6 | ||||
| Inland Empire | 3.3 | 4.4 | 5.2 | 50.7 | 52.5 | 51.5 | ||||
| S.F. Bay Area | 2.9 | 3.3 | 5.0 | 45.1 | 47.5 | 51.8 | r | |||
| S.F. Bay Area | ||||||||||
| Alameda | 2.5 | 2.8 | 4.8 | 64.3 | 61.4 | 69.4 | ||||
| Contra-Costa (Central County) | 2.5 | 2.8 | 4.9 | 64.4 | 70.2 | 78.3 | ||||
| Marin | 4.4 | 4.1 | 6.5 | 47.8 | 41.4 | 55.4 | ||||
| Napa | 5.2 | 6.5 | 7.3 | 79.0 | 59.1 | 57.4 | ||||
| San Francisco | 3.7 | 4.0 | 5.2 | 29.8 | 37.0 | 47.0 | ||||
| San Mateo | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3.9 | r | 21.4 | 23.0 | 24.9 | r | ||
| Santa Clara | 2.0 | 2.3 | 3.8 | r | 22.1 | 22.6 | 26.2 | r | ||
| Solano | 3.6 | 4.4 | 5.5 | 50.2 | 54.1 | 53.6 | ||||
| Sonoma | 4.3 | 4.6 | 7.4 | 61.8 | 68.7 | 65.1 | ||||
| Southern California | ||||||||||
| Los Angeles | 3.6 | 4.4 | 6.0 | 51.0 | 53.0 | 51.9 | ||||
| Orange County | 4.3 | 4.8 | 7.1 | 65.1 | 61.7 | 70.1 | ||||
| Riverside County | 3.1 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 56.4 | 56.3 | 57.8 | ||||
| San Bernardino | 3.6 | 4.3 | 5.5 | 41.3 | 45.0 | 50.4 | ||||
| San Diego | 4.2 | 4.8 | 6.8 | 43.4 | 47.4 | 49.7 | ||||
| Ventura | 4.4 | 5.1 | 7.5 | 57.7 | 69.3 | 77.6 | ||||
| Central Coast | ||||||||||
| Monterey | 3.4 | 4.1 | 5.4 | r | 38.0 | 43.7 | 39.5 | r | ||
| San Luis Obispo | 3.6 | 4.7 | 6.8 | 42.2 | 59.7 | 59.6 | ||||
| Santa Barbara | 3.7 | 4.9 | 7.0 | 62.6 | 65.8 | 91.0 | r | |||
| Santa Cruz | 3.3 | 4.5 | 6.6 | r | 29.3 | 26.5 | 40.4 | r | ||
| Central Valley | ||||||||||
| Fresno | 4.1 | 4.3 | 4.7 | r | 28.0 | 28.3 | 39.5 | r | ||
| Kern (Bakersfield) | 2.0 | 3.4 | 3.9 | r | NA | NA | NA | |||
| Kings County | 3.6 | 3.4 | 5.3 | 61.0 | 50.1 | 37.0 | ||||
| Madera | 3.8 | 3.5 | 4.9 | 45.5 | 29.3 | r | 44.2 | |||
| Merced | 2.7 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 35.8 | 48.4 | 32.9 | ||||
| Placer County | 3.5 | 4.2 | r | NA | 28.3 | 29.3 | 51.6 | r | ||
| Sacramento | 3.1 | 4.0 | r | 4.7 | r | 28.6 | 29.5 | r | 41.4 | r |
| San Benito | 2.1 | 2.4 | 3.8 | r | 28.3 | 43.4 | 28.7 | r | ||
| Tulare | 3.7 | 3.9 | 4.6 | 25.4 | 28.3 | 39.9 | ||||
| Other Counties in California | ||||||||||
| Amador | 6.5 | 6.4 | 8.0 | 61.0 | 72.6 | 46.7 | ||||
| Butte County | 4.3 | 3.9 | 8.2 | 47.0 | 29.8 | 50.3 | ||||
| Humboldt | 6.7 | 7.1 | r | 12.2 | 27.8 | 67.2 | 47.6 | |||
| Lake County | 4.3 | 6.2 | 7.7 | 82.4 | 94.6 | 88.7 | ||||
| Tuolumne | 6.4 | 9.0 | 10.7 | 43.9 | 87.9 | 78.7 | ||||
| Mendocino | 7.8 | 6.9 | 12.6 | 75.5 | 78.4 | 93.4 | ||||
| Shasta | 4.6 | 4.8 | 6.1 | 28.9 | 25.6 | 44.4 | ||||
| Siskiyou County | 10.3 | 12.6 | 16.8 | r | 63.9 | 68.3 | 70.7 | r | ||
| Tehama | 5.1 | 6.4 | 7.9 | 45.5 | 61.0 | 52.8 |
