September home sales and price report

California home sales register nominal year-over-year increase in September for first time in seven months

– Existing, single-family home sales totaled 425,680 in September on a seasonally adjusted annualized rate, up 1.3 percent from August and 0.8 percent from September 2015.

– September’s statewide median home price was $514,320, down 2.3 percent from August and up 6.1 percent from September 2015.

– Statewide sales of condos and townhomes fell 8.5 percent from August and were up 1.4 percent from September a year ago.

LOS ANGELES – Oct. 18 – (RealEstateRama) — California existing home sales ticked up in September on a year-to-year basis for the first time in seven months as a shortage of homes available for sale continues to hold back the market, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today.

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Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California totaled a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 425,680 units in September, according to information collected by C.A.R. from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations and MLSs statewide. The statewide sales figure represents what would be the total number of homes sold during 2016 if sales maintained the September pace throughout the year. It is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically influence home sales.

The September figure was up 1.3 percent from the revised 420,360 level in August and up 0.8 percent compared with home sales in September 2015 of a revised 422,360. Home sales remained above the 400,000 pace for the sixth straight month, and the year-over-year increase was the first since January.

“While higher sales both on a monthly and an annual basis is a glimmer of good news, with most of the home-buying season behind us for 2016, it’s not enough to tip the scales for an increase above 2015’s sales pace,” said C.A.R. President Pat “Ziggy” Zicarelli. “With listings continuing to decline and demand still strong, especially at the lower end of the market, affordability will remain a challenge for would-be buyers.”

The statewide median price remained above the $500,000 mark for the sixth straight month, with minimal signs of cooling down outside of a few select markets. The median price of an existing, single-family detached California home was down 2.3 percent in September to $514,320 from $526,580 in August. September’s median price increased 6.1 percent from the revised $484,670 recorded in September 2015. The median sales price is the point at which half of homes sold for more and half sold for less; it is influenced by the types of homes selling, as well as a general change in values. The monthly price decline is primarily due to seasonal factors.

“While demand remains strong for lower-priced homes, which are more inventory constrained, sales of homes at the higher-end have slowed significantly,” said C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young. “For example, sales of properties priced between $2 million and $3 million, which are the least inventory constrained, grew by high double-digits in 2014 and 2015, but the pace has slowed down to a negligible 0.2 percent increase through the first nine months of this year.”

Other key points from C.A.R.’s September 2016 resale housing report include:

• Current home prices in the state are still 13.5 percent below their previous peak, though most parts of the San Francisco Bay Area have already reached new all-time highs.

• C.A.R.’s Unsold Inventory Index, which indicates the number of months needed to sell the supply of homes on the market at the current sales rate inched up to 3.5 months in September from 3.4 months in August. The index stood at 3.6 months in September 2015.

• Statewide active listings continue to decline, falling 3.1 percent from August and 4.9 percent from a year ago. The year-over-year listings decline is the highest since January 2016.

• The median number of days it took to sell a single-family home was unchanged from August at 28.9 days but was down from 31.8 days in September 2015.

• C.A.R.’s sales-to-list price ratio* dipped slightly in September, with sales prices slightly decreasing to 98.6 percent of listing prices statewide in September from 98.9 percent in August and flat from September 2015.

• The average price per square foot** for an existing, single-family home statewide reached a post-recession high in September at $249, up from $246 in August and from $235 in September 2015.

• San Francisco County had the highest price per square foot in September at $852/sq. ft., followed by San Mateo ($759/sq. ft.), and Santa Clara ($612/sq. ft.). Counties with the lowest price per square foot in September include Tehama ($123/sq. ft.), Siskiyou ($126/sq. ft.), and Tulare and Kings both at $128/sq. ft.

• Mortgage rates are expected to remain low in the foreseeable future, though the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates by year’s end. Mortgage rates edged slightly higher in September, with the 30-year, fixed-mortgage interest rate averaging 3.46 percent, up from 3.44 percent in August but down from 3.89 percent in September 2015, according to Freddie Mac.  The five-year, adjustable-rate mortgage interest rates also rose in September to an average of 2.81 percent, up from 2.75 percent in August but down from 2.92 percent in September 2015.

Graphics (click links to open):

• September sales at-a-glance infographic.
• Calif. historical existing home sales.
• Share of sales by price range.
• Historical condo sales.
• CA price per square foot.
• Regional ratio of sales to active listings.

Note:  The County MLS median price and sales data in the tables are generated from a survey of more than 90 associations of REALTORS® throughout the state, and represent statistics of existing single-family detached homes only.  County sales data are not adjusted to account for seasonal factors that can influence home sales.  Movements in sales prices should not be interpreted as changes in the cost of a standard home.  The median price is where half sold for more and half sold for less; medians are more typical than average prices, which are skewed by a relatively small share of transactions at either the lower-end or the upper-end. Median prices can be influenced by changes in cost, as well as changes in the characteristics and the size of homes sold.  The change in median prices should not be construed as actual price changes in specific homes.

*Sales-to-list price ratio is an indicator that reflects the negotiation power of home buyers and home sellers under current market conditions.  The ratio is calculated by dividing the final sales price of a property by its last list price and is expressed as a percentage.  A sales-to-list ratio with 100 percent or above suggests that the property sold for more than the list price, and a ratio below 100 percent indicates that the price sold below the asking price.

**Price per square foot is a measure commonly used by real estate agents and brokers to determine how much a square foot of space a buyer will pay for a property.  It is calculated as the sale price of the home divided by the number of finished square feet.  C.A.R. currently tracks price-per-square foot statistics for 39 counties.

Leading the way…® in California real estate for more than 110 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with 185,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.

# # #

September 2016 County Sales and Price Activity
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)

September-16 Median Sold Price of Existing Single-Family Homes Sales
State/Region/County Sep-16 Aug-16   Sep-15   MTM% Chg YTY% Chg MTM% Chg YTY% Chg
CA SFH (SAAR) $514,320 $526,580   $484,670 r -2.3% 6.1% 1.3% 0.8%
CA Condo/Townhomes $414,570 $418,750   $388,740 r -1.0% 6.6% -8.5% 1.4%
Los Angeles Metro Area $463,330 $473,950   $440,870 r -2.2% 5.1% -2.4% 2.8%
Inland Empire $319,350 $317,050   $289,690 r 0.7% 10.2% -1.9% 8.1%
S.F. Bay Area $770,150 $777,160   $734,330 r -0.9% 4.9% -6.4% -2.1%
                   
S.F. Bay Area                  
Alameda $762,250 $775,000   $731,000 r -1.6% 4.3% -3.0% 6.7%
Contra-Costa $552,000 $570,000   $525,000 r -3.2% 5.1% -10.0% -8.6%
Marin $1,165,000 $1,200,000   $1,050,000 r -2.9% 11.0% -13.9% -16.4%
Napa $650,000 $625,000   $617,500 r 4.0% 5.3% 9.0% 0.8%
San Francisco $1,218,750 $1,257,500   $1,189,000 r -3.1% 2.5% -11.3% 5.1%
San Mateo $1,290,000 $1,250,000   $1,200,000   3.2% 7.5% -12.1% -8.1%
Santa Clara $1,000,000 $975,000   $955,000   2.6% 4.7% 1.3% -0.9%
Solano $389,500 $410,000   $350,000 r -5.0% 11.3% -12.2% -5.8%
Sonoma $590,000 $585,000   $541,500 r 0.9% 9.0% -8.6% 4.9%
Southern California                  
Los Angeles $546,920 $517,400   $517,750   5.7% 5.6% 2.8% 2.5%
Orange  $739,000 $749,000   $705,000 r -1.3% 4.8% -11.1% -0.8%
Riverside  $352,250 $355,000   $329,000 r -0.8% 7.1% -1.8% 11.1%
San Bernardino $254,330 $243,370   $229,890   4.5% 10.6% -2.1% 3.6%
San Diego $569,000 $563,000   $525,000 r 1.1% 8.4% -8.8% 6.4%
Ventura $629,420 $652,330   $599,710 r -3.5% 5.0% -10.1% -14.2%
Central Coast                  
Monterey $566,500 $515,000   $480,000   10.0% 18.0% 1.7% 3.5%
San Luis Obispo $574,750 $535,000   $518,000 r 7.4% 11.0% 5.7% 6.1%
Santa Barbara $732,500 $775,000   $745,000 r -5.5% -1.7% -9.0% 3.4%
Santa Cruz $774,500 $824,000   $755,000   -6.0% 2.6% -17.6% -19.6%
Central Valley                  
Fresno $240,000 $239,000   $220,000 r 0.4% 9.1% -6.8% 16.4%
Glenn $220,500 $230,500   $231,250 r -4.3% -4.6% 50.0% 50.0%
Kern $215,000 $220,000   $219,900 r -2.3% -2.2% -2.6% -7.2%
Kings  $197,000 $209,220   $198,000 r -5.8% -0.5% -3.2% -4.2%
Madera $240,000 $245,000   $218,480 r -2.0% 9.8% -19.8% 35.2%
Merced $214,000 $220,000   $205,050 r -2.7% 4.4% -8.9% 4.2%
Placer  $430,240 $430,000   $390,000 r 0.1% 10.3% -4.3% 1.1%
Sacramento $317,500 $323,500   $290,700 r -1.9% 9.2% -7.6% 2.9%
San Benito $527,500 $538,380   $466,000   -2.0% 13.2% -8.0% 12.2%
San Joaquin $322,000 $325,000   $295,000 r -0.9% 9.2% -5.7% -6.0%
Stanislaus $270,000 $272,750   $252,000 r -1.0% 7.1% -13.2% -14.2%
Tulare $209,900 $204,900   $189,540 r 2.4% 10.7% -12.1% 8.5%
Other Counties in California                  
Amador $243,500 $257,500   $240,500 r -5.4% 1.2% 0.0% 15.0%
Butte  $275,000 $264,120   $248,000 r 4.1% 10.9% -15.8% 4.3%
Calaveras $285,000 $310,000   $262,000 r -8.1% 8.8% -12.9% 6.3%
Del Norte $239,500 $174,500   $216,500 r 37.2% 10.6% -44.4% -37.5%
El Dorado  $419,000 $425,000   $399,000 r -1.4% 5.0% -12.3% 0.3%
Humboldt $290,000 $290,000   $270,000 r 0.0% 7.4% -13.3% 18.2%
Lake  $220,000 $234,500   $225,000 r -6.2% -2.2% -39.4% -6.0%
Mariposa $332,500 $311,500   $236,150 r 6.7% 40.8% -65.0% -41.7%
Mendocino $370,000 $362,500   $340,000 r 2.1% 8.8% -17.2% 23.3%
Mono $465,000 $532,500 r $550,000   -12.7% -15.5% -8.3% 100.0%
Nevada $348,700 $343,000   $339,900 r 1.7% 2.6% -14.1% 5.8%
Plumas $278,500 $275,000   $267,500 r 1.3% 4.1% -9.5% -20.8%
Shasta $239,000 $248,000   $238,450 r -3.6% 0.2% -5.8% 9.0%
Siskiyou  $192,000 $204,500   $175,000 r -6.1% 9.7% 11.5% 18.4%
Sutter $247,500 $267,410   $231,000 r -7.4% 7.1% -13.4% 4.4%
Tehama $219,000 $202,000   $192,500 r 8.4% 13.8% -31.4% -7.9%
Tuolumne $242,500 $266,450   $249,000 r -9.0% -2.6% -22.1% 0.0%
Yolo $407,000 $410,480   $409,000 r -0.8% -0.5% -25.0% 0.7%
Yuba $245,000 $249,900   $230,000 r -2.0% 6.5% -14.4% 2.5%

r = revised

September 2016 County Unsold Inventory and Time on Market
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)

September-16 Unsold Inventory Index Median Time on Market
State/Region/County Sep-16 Aug-16   Sep-15   Sep-16 Aug-16   Sep-15  
CA SFH (SAAR) 3.5 3.4   3.6 r 28.9 28.9   31.8 r
CA Condo/Townhomes 2.8 2.6   2.8   27.3 29.2 29.6  
Los Angeles Metro Area 3.7 3.7   3.9   42.1 45.2   47.1  
Inland Empire 4.0 4.1   4.5 r 42.9 45.3   48.9  
S.F. Bay Area 2.6 2.4   2.2 r 24.3 23.5   22.4 r
                     
S.F. Bay Area                    
Alameda 2.1 2.1   2.3   19.8 18.4   18.0  
Contra-Costa 2.5 2.4   2.4   21.4 19.7   21.2 r
Marin 4.3 3.6   3.3 r 37.2 41.0   36.3 r
Napa 4.4 4.8   4.2 r 53.1 47.1   59.0 r
San Francisco 3.2 2.2   3.0   25.2 25.1   21.5  
San Mateo 2.4 1.9   1.9   20.6 20.2   18.7  
Santa Clara 2.2 2.3   2.1   21.7 21.8   19.1  
Solano 3.0 2.8   2.5 r 43.0 42.8   41.3 r
Sonoma 3.0 2.9   3.6 r 46.4 49.5   45.6 r
Southern California                    
Los Angeles 3.3 3.3   3.6 r 35.7 40.3   42.3 r
Orange  3.8 3.7   3.7   49.2 52.4   53.0  
Riverside  4.1 4.1   4.6 r 44.0 48.0   50.3 r
San Bernardino 3.9 4.1   4.3   41.0 40.2   46.5  
San Diego 3.4 3.3   3.7   23.6 22.5   24.3  
Ventura 4.2 4.0   3.7   56.7 53.3   52.4  
Central Coast                    
Monterey 4.3 4.4   4.2   27.3 25.3   26.2  
San Luis Obispo 4.0 4.4   4.3   31.5 33.2   42.4  
Santa Barbara 4.9 4.6   4.4 r 32.5 33.2   26.3 r
Santa Cruz 2.9 2.7   2.8   26.0 24.8   25.2  
Central Valley                    
Fresno 3.7 3.5   4.8   24.7 24.9   27.1  
Glenn 4.3 6.9   5.8   50.3 26.4   31.0  
Kern 3.7 3.8   3.7   27.1 26.6   26.0 r
Kings  3.4 3.2   3.2   25.0 22.6   33.3  
Madera 4.7 4.1   8.0   45.5 54.1   75.5  
Merced 2.9 2.8   4.1   31.5 35.0   38.3  
Placer  2.9 3.0   3.2   23.9 23.7   25.5  
Sacramento 2.6 2.5   2.7   20.3 19.5   22.4  
San Benito 3.8 3.7   3.3   26.7 23.0   26.2  
San Joaquin 3.2 3.1   3.1   21.3 21.7   23.1  
Stanislaus 3.5 3.1   3.2   24.0 21.7   23.7  
Tulare 3.9 3.5   4.6   27.7 28.4   32.6 r
Other Counties in California                    
Amador 5.3 5.8   5.9   52.8 49.5   63.9  
Butte  3.7 3.3   4.2   27.1 26.5   39.1  
Calaveras 5.4 4.9   6.3   58.2 29.5   69.5  
Del Norte 16.1 9.6   10.1   95.8 110.3   84.2  
El Dorado  4.0 3.8   4.4   45.9 33.9   46.8  
Humboldt 3.6 3.3   4.9   27.5 24.0   46.5  
Lake  7.3 4.6   6.8   74.1 95.0   94.6  
Mariposa 13.0 4.3   9.8   98.3 91.0   31.0  
Mendocino 7.0 6.0   9.0 r 77.3 71.9   80.8 r
Mono 6.5 10.4 r NA   123.4 94.6   123.4  
Nevada 3.7 3.3   4.8   31.0 26.4   40.4  
Plumas 10.7 10.3   8.8   108.4 94.2   126.8  
Shasta 4.7 4.5   5.7   41.5 36.4   46.0  
Siskiyou  5.0 6.0   6.8   38.7 40.3   78.4  
Sutter 3.3 2.8   3.5   24.9 23.4   33.2  
Tehama 6.8 4.7   6.6   52.2 51.5   41.9  
Tuolumne 6.4 5.4   6.7   46.7 39.3   71.9  
Yolo 2.8 2.1   3.0   23.0 23.3   24.0  
Yuba 2.7 2.4   3.3   22.1 19.5   23.2  

r = revised
NA = not available

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Leading the way...® in California real estate for more than 100 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States, with nearly 155,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.

Contact:

Los Angeles - Executive Office:
525 South Virgil Avenue
Los Angeles, CA 90020-1403
Phone: (213) 739-8200
Fax: (213) 480-7724

Media:

Mark Giberson
Phone: (213) 739-8304.

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